Publications

After four growing seasons, elevated CO₂ did not significantly alter surface soil C pools in two intact annual grasslands. However, soil C pools in these systems are large compared to the likely changes caused by elevated CO₂. We calculated statistical power to detect changes in soil C, using an approach applicable to all elevated CO₂ experiments. The distinctive isotopic signature of the fossil-fuel-derived CO₂ added to the elevated CO₂ treatment provides a C tracer to determine the rate of incorporation of newly-fixed C into soil. This rate constrains the size of the possible effect of eievated CO₂ on soil C. Even after four years of treatment, statistical power to detect plausible changes in soil C under elevated CO₂ is quite low. Analysis of other elevated CO₂ experiments in the literature indicates that either CO₂ does not affect soil C content, or that reported CO₂ effects on soil C are too large to be a simple consequence of increased plant carbon inputs, suggesting that other mechanisms are involved, or that the differences are due to chance. Determining the effects of elevated CO₂ on total soil C and long-term C storage requires more powerful experimental techniques or experiments of longer duration.